Sensitivity Analysis for Case Study:

Province Healthcare

MATP4700 Math Models of Operations Research

Fall 2023

Students may work in groups of up to three people. You are strongly encouraged to work in groups; if you’re unable to find a partner, please let me know. You may be able to use piazza to find teammates. You may consult your textbooks, your notes, online information, and me. You may not solicit help from other sources.

Due: Friday November 17, 2023, by 11.50pm on LMS. (40 points.)

1 Introduction

The solution found in Part 1 depends on the precise values of various parameters. Use sensitivity analysis to answer the following questions. Include printouts of relevant parts of your AMPL output. Assume that each part is independent of the others. Procedures for obtaining shadow prices and other relevant information are given below.

If you prefer to use it, my model file is available on LMS and the course website. The solution to the LP relaxation has value 271196.7797. If your model returns a different value for the first 6 significant digits, you need to either modify your model so it does give this value, or use my model.

Notes: (1) You may want to solve a modified problem to check your answers or to try to determine where to look for sensitivity information. That is OK, but I don’t want to see those results! You must give me the requested information using only sensitivity analysis, unless stated otherwise. (2) AMPL might give a dual variable or reduced cost of the opposite sign from what you expect. That’s OK, you can just use the sign you’d expect.

2 Questions

  1. (4 points) Province Healthcare has noticed that no patients are moved from Zone 1 to Zone 2, or vice versa. Each of these moves is estimated to cost $200. For what cost would it be attractive to move patients between zones?
  2. (4 points) For what nurse transfer cost would it be attractive to move extra nurses to melon?
  3. (4 points) What is the minimum transportation cost for which would it be unattractive to move patients from Apple City to the hospital in Grape?
  4. (8 points) It looks like the number of sick patients in Apple City may be greater than forecast. What would be the change in the optimal value per patient for a small number of extra patients in Apple City? Why is this number less than the cost to create an extra IC bed at the Apple hospital? Use the let command to show your estimate is accurate if the demand is revised to 80 patients, but inaccurate if it is revised to 85 patients. Does it cost more per extra patient or less for patients 81–85? Why?
  5. (10 points) An outside company is offering to provide up to 20 travel nurses to help cover the additional IC beds. The rate per week that they charge Province Healthcare for each nurse is $100 greater than the cost of employing an internal IC nurse. Use dual variables to determine at which hospitals (if any) it would be beneficial to hire travel nurses. What is your predicted savings if all 20 travel nurses are hired? Modify the model file and confirm your result is accurate.
  6. (10 points) Currently, Province Healthcare has a balance requirement that each hospital have a certain value that is at least 80% of a certain average. Use dual variables to estimate how much they would save if this was relaxed to 79%. Check your answer using the let command.

3 AMPL notes

    John Mitchell
    Amos Eaton 325
    x6915.
    mitchj at rpi dot edu
    Tuesday 2.30–4pm in AE 325;
    Thursday 1–3pm webex: https://rensselaer.webex.com/meet/mitchj
    TA: Marguerite Demasi, demasm at rpi dot edu
    Office hours: Mondays 2–3.30pm in AE 317.